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BBC Weather expects frost in some places on Wednesday night, alongside rain across England and Wales after a spell of warm weather.
What has changed? · 07/10/2026, 00:18 UTC
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BBC Weather expects highs of 18–23C in England and Wales on Monday, 5 October, with temperatures reaching 23C in south-east England. It says the warmth is more typical of August than early October. [1]
A band of rain is forecast to move unevenly south-east across the UK on Tuesday and Wednesday. Showery rain on Tuesday could become heavier in some southern areas on Wednesday. By then, maximum temperatures are expected to fall to around 11–16C, near or slightly below the early-October average. Brisk northerly winds are likely to make it feel colder, especially along the eastern coasts of Scotland and England. [1]
The outlook could change again by the weekend: BBC Weather expects westerly winds to bring Atlantic rain systems and says temperatures may rise slightly. It cautions that forecasts further into autumn remain uncertain. [1]
BBC Weather forecasts highs in the mid-teens across much of England and Wales on Wednesday, 7 October, with Scotland possibly reaching just 10–13C. It expects Wednesday to be the first day since 11 June on which temperatures fail to reach 20C anywhere in the UK. [2]
North-westerly winds are expected to bring sunshine and scattered showers to many areas. Rain could be heavy and persistent for a time in south-eastern England and East Anglia, while frost is possible in some northern rural areas early on Thursday. [2]
More rain and stronger winds are forecast for Friday, but BBC Weather expects temperatures to return towards average over the weekend. [2]
The UK is forecast to have its coldest night of the autumn so far on Wednesday, with the first frost of the season expected in some places, according to BBC Weather. At dawn on Thursday, temperatures are forecast to be around 5–7°C in most places. The coolest parts of northern and eastern England and eastern Scotland could be just 1–2°C above freezing, with frost likely on grass and car windscreens.
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BBC Weather attributes the change to the jet stream moving south, allowing colder air to arrive on northerly winds. Despite the contrast with recent warm weather, it expects temperatures to be near the seasonal norm or only slightly below it.
Rain is also forecast across England and Wales from midweek. Southern and eastern England could receive around 20–30mm in 24 hours — as much as half a month’s rainfall — while rain may linger in East Anglia and the far south-east on Wednesday. BBC Weather says nearly three quarters of England and all of Wales remain in drought. [3]
The chill is expected to continue on Thursday before temperatures rise on Friday. BBC Weather says eastern areas of England and Wales could reach 20°C, while no frost is forecast farther north by Friday dawn. [3]